Get the picks
EuroMillions · UK · Tuesday & Friday

Turbulence, tamed into a scoreboard.

A lottery draw is chaos in its purest form. We throw eight statistical models at it, benchmark them against 1.9 million simulated tickets, and publish every pick before the draw with a cryptographic fingerprint. Then we let luck be the judge - in public.

1,980 draws since 20048 models1,880 walk-forward draws18+ · no tickets sold
Streamlines of a vortex, tightening toward the core. The same equations that make fluid motion unpredictable in detail make it perfectly describable in aggregate - which is the whole argument of this site.
Sealed ledger

Picks for the next draw

The leader's pick is open. Seven are sealed on the page and open in your inbox - free, sent before every draw. Estimated jackpot .

for_draw · made_at UK · sha256 …
Leaderboard · walk-forward

Eight ways to read chaos. None of them beat it. All of them are honest.

Every model picked each of the last 1,880 draws using only the draws before it. The number is correct picks; the delta is against pure luck (1,614.6 expected). Inside the luck band means: no signal, as physics predicts.

Cumulative correct numbers · shaded = luck band 5–95%

Per draw · chance = 0.86

Mathematics

The luck band is the product.

A random line expects the same hits every draw. Over 1,880 draws that expectation is exact, and 1,000 simulated players show how far chance alone wanders. A model only means something outside that band.

E[hits] = 5·(5/50) + 2·(2/12) = 0.833 // per draw, 1–12 era
Σ E[hits] over 1,880 draws = 1,614.6 // era-aware
P(jackpot, one line) = 1 / 139,838,160
Pipeline · after every draw

No human in the loop. That's the point.

01 · INGEST1,980 drawsMain 5/50, Lucky Stars 2/12, era-aware since 2004.
02 · SCORE62 × 8 × 1,880Every number scored by every model for every draw, walk-forward.
03 · SIMULATE1,000 random playersMonte Carlo luck band the models must beat - not each other.
04 · SEALSHA-256 ledgerPicks time-stamped before the draw. Anyone can re-hash them.

Straight answers

Can a model predict the lottery?

No. EuroMillions is random; every ball has the same chance every time. Any model - ours included - scores like luck in the long run, and our leaderboard says so. Probabilica is honest computation: models publish, a machine counts, you see exactly how far "AI predictions" get against chance.

Then what am I paying for?

Structure and sport: eight published methods, an unedited leaderboard, alerts before each draw, and a ledger you can verify. Nothing here improves your odds, and we will never claim it does.

Is this a lottery or a betting site?

No. We sell no tickets and take no bets. In the UK, EuroMillions is run by Allwyn under a Gambling Commission licence - play only through the National Lottery. Probabilica is independent.

Where to play · the licensed channels

One licensed operator. Four ways to buy the same £2.50 line.

EuroMillions in the UK is run by Allwyn Entertainment Ltd under the Fourth National Lottery Licence. The price is the same wherever you buy, and so is the share that goes into the prize fund - so the choice between channels is convenience, not money.

£1.74the EuroMillions entry
£0.76UK Millionaire Maker, added automatically and not sold separately
50%of the price paid for a EuroMillions entry goes to the prize fund
Channel
Price per line
What differs in practice
In store
£2.50same in every channel
No account needed. The printed ticket is your proof of entry - lose it and you lose the claim. Sold at licensed retailers.
Website
£2.50same in every channel
Account required. The entry must appear in your account; if it does not, it was not entered. Official site
Mobile app
£2.50same in every channel
The same rules and the same account as the website, on a phone. Official site
Direct Debit
£2.50same in every channel
Repeats until you stop it, and gives a separate Millionaire Maker entry for every draw. Official site

Sourced from the operator's own Game Procedures. Cut-off times, claim windows, payment methods and age limits sit in the account and retail rules and change from time to time - we do not restate them here. See the full comparison, including what those documents do and do not settle.